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The Margin

The Margin: NFL and college football ratings and projections

Our model’s line next to the betting market’s for every NFL and college football game, with team ratings and the record.

This week’s biggest gaps

Model is our line, Vegas is the betting market’s, Gap is the points between them. A gap is not a pick.

RecordLoading the record…

College football ratings

College football ratings

All teams
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College rating
Overall team strength. One point is worth about six percentage points of win probability in a single game.
College title odds
The model's season simulation of the playoff and title game. Not blended with the betting market.